Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 1212.650693 1382.415078 1572.796207 1803.136888 2075.627053 2389.356640 2780.280632
2025-07-13 986.178627 1215.145795 1497.672755 1876.362653 2377.450891 3027.503246 3950.822180
2025-07-20 853.002118 1102.782501 1430.025069 1898.638935 2566.741194 3507.690427 4975.551216
2025-07-27 763.068087 1025.311075 1385.996342 1931.589344 2760.195540 4013.583583 6140.165544
2025-08-03 692.027388 960.227939 1344.493697 1953.648827 2931.217661 4507.140598 7394.873565
2025-08-10 646.362173 923.547012 1335.888459 2018.792963 3173.642630 5153.915981 9071.453093
2025-08-17 601.808667 882.031496 1312.799236 2054.425633 3369.132678 5754.936779 10827.484380
2025-08-24 560.052700 839.456871 1281.667260 2070.006974 3528.961640 6319.562605 12673.640330
2025-08-31 523.364235 800.610870 1251.242816 2080.893416 3679.410996 6893.987607 14718.503198
2025-09-07 496.076124 773.978874 1237.530726 2118.444970 3885.254250 7623.136866 17372.635112
2025-09-14 455.260057 720.851931 1172.579076 2051.912888 3870.731919 7873.667094 18904.274510
2025-09-21 420.011705 674.152218 1114.269341 1990.452772 3856.156475 8120.003036 20513.957413
2025-09-28 385.118054 626.243298 1051.114595 1915.513497 3809.048915 8300.689006 22076.939368
2025-10-05 373.731128 618.957947 1061.761433 1990.971226 4111.396029 9422.865725 27075.811709
2025-10-12 356.927339 600.282941 1048.871669 2015.370159 4299.970848 10302.471549 31744.680434
2025-10-19 342.900611 585.435935 1041.681189 2050.730549 4521.742328 11337.606960 37590.222583
2025-10-26 328.779370 569.182677 1030.014421 2074.459507 4719.123373 12362.820862 44069.640094
2025-11-02 320.468390 563.253120 1038.332755 2144.530851 5052.010541 13912.139976 53975.554581
2025-11-09 309.612258 551.462001 1033.398532 2182.874386 5307.357313 15301.639785 64314.229596
2025-11-16 297.599329 536.436702 1020.237980 2199.644299 5505.893090 16570.011136 75206.250471
2025-11-23 286.043790 521.457110 1005.789284 2211.362370 5692.910180 17869.292886 87618.824646
2025-11-30 277.596758 512.162668 1002.816391 2251.789864 5976.883093 19653.761602 105202.466818
2025-12-07 261.171089 485.293353 958.742456 2180.170126 5894.620353 19942.983952 112778.936535